U.S. Themes & Strategy

U.S. Themes & Strategy is authored by David Abramson, with a focus on actionable macro themes and investment insights over both cyclical and secular horizons. Published one week per month, U.S. Themes & Strategy covers a wide variety of economic, monetary, and political trends affecting financial markets. Analysis relates to U.S. trends, but frequently has powerful global implications. 

 

David Abramson
Chief U.S. Strategist & Director of Research
Full Bio >

U.S. Themes & Strategy Deliverables
U.S. Themes & Strategy

Published each month, the focus is on long-term macroeconomic, financial, and political themes that can be tied to actionable investment recommendations. These themes are often geared to timing key market turning points.

Special Reports

Published each month, Special Reports do a “deep dive” into U.S.-oriented hot topics and questions of interest to investors. Examples include: Can inflation decline even if the U.S. economy grows at trend? Can a bull market in energy return?  What are the prospects for a technology stock mania?

Feature Reports

Written by guest contributors from within our network, Feature Reports provide stimulating investment insights, ideas, and opinions. These contributors are experts in their field, but tend to be “off the beaten track.”

The results are provocative and authoritative, regardless of whether they agree with the Alpine Macro house view.  Some examples include Robert Kaplan’s “The Coming Geopolitical Challenges for the West” and Mark Chandler’s “Xi and He: China’s Economic Policy”.  

Previous U.S. Themes & Strategy Research

Big-Picture Geopolitical Insights From Robert KaplanSeptember 11, 2019

Kaplan offers a historically informed, forward-looking roadmap for these shocks, both for the next year and the longer term. Among the conclusions for investors: Trump may stay tough on China for political reasons. For the first time since the 1970s, Asian security can no longer be taken for granted.


Constructive On Treasuries and OilMarch 19, 2019

Savings and investment trends both at home and abroad are good news for Treasuries and dividend grower equities. However, the next upleg in broad equity prices awaits a lower dollar and Fed rate cut, which will take time. Oil and energy stocks will fare well.


Echoes of the 1990s: Tech ManiaSeptember 7, 2018

The tech sector shows obvious signs of too much money chasing too few opportunities, but the price appreciation has been less explosive than in the late 1990s. FAANG/M relative performance will be critical to monitor. One lesson from the late 1990s bubble is that Fed policy will influence the dynamics of the overshoot.

U.S. Themes & Strategy

U.S. Themes & Strategy is authored by David Abramson, with a focus on actionable macro themes and investment insights over both cyclical and secular horizons. Published one week per month, U.S. Themes & Strategy covers a wide variety of economic, monetary, and political trends affecting financial markets. Analysis relates to U.S. trends, but frequently has powerful global implications. 

David Abramson
Chief U.S. Strategist & Director of Research
Full Bio >

Key Deliverables
U.S. Themes & Strategy

Published each month, the focus is on long-term macroeconomic, financial, and political themes that can be tied to actionable investment recommendations. These themes are often geared to timing key market turning points.

Special Reports

Published each month, Special Reports do a “deep dive” into U.S.-oriented hot topics and questions of interest to investors. Examples include: Can inflation decline even if the U.S. economy grows at trend? Can a bull market in energy return?  What are the prospects for a technology stock mania?

Feature Reports

Written by guest contributors from within our network, Feature Reports provide stimulating investment insights, ideas, and opinions. These contributors are experts in their field, but tend to be “off the beaten track.”

The results are provocative and authoritative, regardless of whether they agree with the Alpine Macro house view.  Some examples include Robert Kaplan’s “The Coming Geopolitical Challenges for the West” and Mark Chandler’s “Xi and He: China’s Economic Policy”.  

Previous Research

Big-Picture Geopolitical Insights From Robert KaplanSeptember 11, 2019

Kaplan offers a historically informed, forward-looking roadmap for these shocks, both for the next year and the longer term. Among the conclusions for investors: Trump may stay tough on China for political reasons. For the first time since the 1970s, Asian security can no longer be taken for granted.

Constructive On Treasuries and OilMarch 19, 2019

Savings and investment trends both at home and abroad are good news for Treasuries and dividend grower equities. However, the next upleg in broad equity prices awaits a lower dollar and Fed rate cut, which will take time. Oil and energy stocks will fare well.

Echoes of the 1990s: Tech ManiaSeptember 7, 2018

The tech sector shows obvious signs of too much money chasing too few opportunities, but the price appreciation has been less explosive than in the late 1990s. FAANG/M relative performance will be critical to monitor. One lesson from the late 1990s bubble is that Fed policy will influence the dynamics of the overshoot.

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– Chen Zhao, Co-founder & Chief Global Strategist